Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 649.297720 728.356476 816.056096 921.066139 1044.054423 1184.353044 1357.676069
2025-02-16 525.551725 628.885383 753.630963 917.348532 1129.617600 1399.893744 1777.305105
2025-02-23 469.167685 585.356884 733.640296 940.769486 1229.270345 1627.437345 2238.312554
2025-03-02 432.112940 557.563536 725.088763 971.610540 1336.768058 1878.032570 2783.650018
2025-03-09 398.905756 529.032582 709.415624 986.752832 1419.910038 2103.869641 3342.918965
2025-03-16 367.561335 498.664205 686.159050 985.371495 1474.665507 2291.898090 3884.363286
2025-03-23 346.425031 480.137377 677.101821 1002.900588 1560.216197 2544.999466 4614.301829
2025-03-30 316.940995 446.239093 640.921664 971.738343 1557.435728 2638.797918 5052.626363
2025-04-06 292.067283 417.033695 608.931709 943.083728 1553.687843 2728.264019 5506.546802
2025-04-13 269.378077 389.330578 576.700720 910.031040 1536.453765 2786.846766 5906.713095
2025-04-20 261.720646 384.490614 580.743618 940.254704 1642.656515 3119.810910 7102.175235
2025-04-27 251.298369 374.313194 574.859904 951.612815 1713.107441 3390.693672 8246.571186
2025-05-04 239.752768 361.780928 564.446191 954.447781 1769.021887 3647.594682 9491.825788
2025-05-11 227.570751 347.374886 549.665454 947.463006 1803.542431 3863.444007 10728.366377
2025-05-18 221.349556 342.505870 551.137483 972.191585 1911.853034 4294.898027 12967.246312
2025-05-25 216.604696 339.762749 556.079076 1004.334075 2042.981819 4827.397940 15986.624094
2025-06-01 209.966163 333.201770 553.358230 1020.138205 2137.996216 5287.787002 19098.753568
2025-06-08 201.652861 323.099435 543.136993 1018.696343 2189.881776 5634.917032 22004.032928
2025-06-15 196.323188 318.005463 542.032776 1036.991328 2296.216363 6193.628205 26631.213257
2025-06-22 185.571109 302.377813 519.321033 1004.470296 2261.240932 6264.498742 28498.952982
2025-06-29 175.886005 288.218640 498.602536 974.577331 2229.269027 6339.631277 30517.870869
2025-07-06 166.363460 273.904329 476.729217 940.109725 2179.782544 6339.677286 32069.572075
2025-07-13 164.325092 273.487653 482.708694 971.626632 2325.521041 7135.120491 40789.060141